MATH 3011 Probabilistic Models and Inference

Credit Points 10

Legacy Code 301250

Coordinator Oliver Obst Opens in new window

Description The unit provides students with an understanding of probabilistic models and inference. It covers model-based approaches for complex systems - from constructing these models to applying information to models. The models, which can be created manually and obtained by learning from data, will also be useful to make decisions under uncertainty. A variety of models and techniques will be discussed; examples include Monte Carlo Methods, Decision Theory, Bayesian networks, Markov networks, and the use of information theory.

School Computer, Data & Math Sciences

Student Contribution Band HECS Band 1 10cp

Check your HECS Band contribution amount via the Fees page.

Level Undergraduate Level 3 subject

Pre-requisite(s) MATH 1002 AND
MATH 1033 OR
MATH 1028

Assumed Knowledge

Probability, Linear Algebra, Basic Programming.

Learning Outcomes

On successful completion of this subject, students should be able to:
  1. 1. Manually construct probabilistic models for specific data.
  2. 2. Automatically construct probabilistic models by learning from data.
  3. 3. Use the models to make decisions under uncertainty.
  4. 4. Accurately represent a probabilistic model using a graphical representation.

Subject Content

Network representation and graphical models
Probabilistic models and entropy
Inference in graphical models
Learning graphical models


The following table summarises the standard assessment tasks for this subject. Please note this is a guide only. Assessment tasks are regularly updated, where there is a difference your Learning Guide takes precedence.

Item Length Percent Threshold Individual/Group Task
Intra-session Exam 2 hours 30 N Individual
Applied Project 15 pages 40 N Individual
Quiz 6x40 min 30 N Individual

Teaching Periods